Polymarket's Iran Strike Contract: The 27.5% Signal and the Oracle's Burden
A probability sits on the chain. 27.5%. That is the market's estimate—as of t...
UMA related articles
A probability sits on the chain. 27.5%. That is the market's estimate—as of t...
The Polymarket contract for "Iran will strike a Gulf state by July 22" hit...
Hook 86% probability. That’s what the market priced on Polymarket for Yamine...
The interface shows a clean decimal: 10.5% – the market’s implied probability...
Greed
Market Sentiment
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
92 million ARB released
Team and early investor shares released
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Block reward halving event
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
{{快讯内容}}
Bitcoin Season